With the Democratic Primary tomorrow, Carnack over at NLS makes a very good point in the comments:
my prediction on senior voting is based on (1) good weather, (2) the issue of Democratic loyalty and (3) purely anecdotal information from asking about a dozen senior strangers in a restaurant over the weekend.
In all of the discussions about unions, minorities and the impact of the blogs, I have rarely seen any mention of the demographic least likely to read blogs but most likely to read their mail, take a phone call and be poll workers and voters in a party primary: seniors.
I am speculating that this factor has not been overlooked by the Miller campaign, and that a targeted effort has been made.
Seniors are the largest dependable voting block in primaries and Carnack’s right, they don’t read the blogs. They’re at home reading newspapers and mailers and answering their phone. So when the Washington Post (with its huge circulation) endorses Miller and Webb only gets out one or two mailers compared to the handful from Miller, well, you gotta wonder how blindsided Webbloggers are going to be tomorrow.
I’m saying Miller 53 – Webb 47.